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Red168
11740.0
98783.6
83972.3
Blue225
119788.8
958322.5
376772.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198184120140160220240260280168225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points38
40Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +38
19Coral scored#22
70Coral points78
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#12
18Processor points24
24Net points48
42Algae points72
112Total teleop150
Reef
11L4#11
7L3#10
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points2
168Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#14
83.61.8
79.377.5
Auto22.8
Teleop52.6
End8.2
blue by 5.2
88.82.7
82.885.5
Auto23.3
Teleop55.2
End10.3
Second
839
#29
72.31.8
65.763.9
Auto10.3
Teleop50.6
End11.5
red by 0.3
3767
#31
72.02.7
66.969.6
Auto16.2
Teleop48.1
End7.8
Third
117
#48
40.01.8
35.734.0
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.9
red by 17.6
9583
#65
22.52.7
18.721.4
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned