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Red240
83671.2
940870.1
636987.4
Blue171
285156.5
260142.3
263745.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23713750100200300350240171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+39Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
10Coral scored#5
51Coral points24
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +18
29Coral scored#29
103Coral points103
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
18Processor points12
32Net points20
50Algae points32
153Total teleop135
Reef
11L4#10
15L3#9
7L2#9
6L1 · trough#6
50Game pieces#41
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
240Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#16
87.40.9
83.784.6
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
red by 30.8
2851
#60
56.51.8
54.856.6
Auto7.0
Teleop48.2
End1.3
Second
836
#20
71.20.9
63.964.8
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
red by 25.4
2637
#42
45.81.8
44.646.3
Auto11.5
Teleop28.9
End5.4
Third
9408
#37
70.10.9
68.068.9
Auto14.1
Teleop47.1
End8.9
red by 27.8
2601
#56
42.31.8
33.835.6
Auto8.9
Teleop31.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed