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Red202
388029.6
394080.1
198776.0
Blue145
439.6
521669.9
912643.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19016550100150250300202145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+45Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points33
47Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +31
27Coral scored#19
97Coral points68
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
139Total teleop108
Reef
15L4#7
7L3#8
6L2#6
7L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
202Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#30
80.11.5
72.874.2
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
red by 10.2
5216
#50
69.91.0
72.271.2
Auto17.7
Teleop48.6
End3.5
Second
76.01.5
72.774.1
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
red by 32.1
9126
#64
43.91.0
42.641.6
Auto11.0
Teleop30.5
End2.4
Third
3880
#73
29.61.5
23.424.8
Auto5.3
Teleop24.3
End-0.1
blue by 10.1
4
#62
39.61.0
34.233.2
Auto5.5
Teleop28.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed