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Red195
2481103.1
45858.9
551656.9
Blue159
107662.7
313251.0
318242.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167169130140150160180190200210195159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+20Teleop
+40Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave9
10Coral scored#4
49Coral points18
49Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +2
24Coral scored#26
88Coral points92
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
120Total teleop122
Reef
15L4#13
7L3#9
5L2#5
7L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#36
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points4
195Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.12.4
95.898.2
Auto25.7
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 40.3
1076
#28
62.70.3
62.462.0
Auto15.3
Teleop45.0
End2.4
Second
5516
#32
56.92.4
49.451.8
Auto17.2
Teleop34.7
End5.0
red by 6.0
3132
#58
51.00.3
51.851.5
Auto9.6
Teleop36.7
End4.6
Third
4585
#70
8.92.4
8.611.0
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End1.0
blue by 34.0
3182
#69
42.90.3
39.839.5
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed