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Red180
76651.0
580167.1
263852.4
Blue174
234126.0
293549.1
83972.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166143100200250180174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
43Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
20Coral scored#22
71Coral points78
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#7
12Processor points24
32Net points28
44Algae points52
115Total teleop130
Reef
14L4#11
8L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
180Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#51
67.10.7
60.160.9
Auto9.6
Teleop50.7
End6.7
blue by 5.3
839
#29
72.32.2
60.462.6
Auto10.3
Teleop50.6
End11.5
Second
2638
#68
52.40.7
45.946.6
Auto9.0
Teleop35.9
End7.5
red by 3.2
2935
#66
49.12.2
56.458.6
Auto10.3
Teleop34.6
End4.2
Third
766
#54
51.00.7
51.752.5
Auto8.6
Teleop34.4
End8.0
red by 24.9
2341
#57
26.02.2
18.020.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed