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Red213
1166.6
1012041.6
599087.1
Blue238
439185.6
172762.4
259051.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199212100150250300350213238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave3
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points36
47Total auto39
TeleoperatedBlue +3
31Coral scored#25
112Coral points89
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#14
24Processor points18
24Net points56
48Algae points74
160Total teleop163
Reef
15L4#15
8L3#10
11L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
49Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
213Total score238

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#15
87.11.1
86.487.5
Auto19.9
Teleop64.8
End2.4
red by 1.5
85.62.2
81.583.8
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
Second
11
#39
66.61.1
61.562.6
Auto11.3
Teleop45.1
End10.2
red by 4.2
1727
#21
62.42.2
59.061.2
Auto8.9
Teleop41.1
End12.3
Third
41.61.1
37.838.9
Auto6.3
Teleop31.2
End4.1
blue by 9.7
2590
#67
51.32.2
52.855.1
Auto8.0
Teleop35.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed100%Barge oddsEarned