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Red186
313251.0
59736.3
440077.9
Blue218
34190.7
1012041.6
83972.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15720850100250300186218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+30
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
21Coral scored#32
77Coral points114
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#3
18Processor points24
24Net points12
42Algae points36
119Total teleop150
Reef
16L4#14
6L3#10
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points2
186Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
77.92.1
70.172.2
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
blue by 12.8
341
#7
90.71.9
83.685.5
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
Second
3132
#58
51.02.1
51.553.6
Auto9.6
Teleop36.7
End4.6
blue by 21.4
839
#29
72.31.9
65.367.2
Auto10.3
Teleop50.6
End11.5
Third
597
#75
36.32.1
32.834.9
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End2.6
blue by 5.3
41.61.9
38.940.7
Auto6.3
Teleop31.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned