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Red141
111481.0
958322.5
912643.9
Blue248
172762.4
804479.2
402873.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15923650100200250300350141248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+71
Endgame+101
Fouls+107
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points41
30Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +54
21Coral scored#34
77Coral points123
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
12Processor points24
16Net points12
28Algae points36
105Total teleop159
Reef
11L4#15
8L3#14
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#7
33Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +107
0Foul points6
141Total score248

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.01.1
82.281.1
Auto18.0
Teleop56.2
End6.8
red by 1.7
79.21.3
76.677.8
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
Second
9126
#64
43.91.1
41.640.5
Auto11.0
Teleop30.5
End2.4
blue by 30.0
4028
#11
73.91.3
73.975.2
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End6.9
Third
9583
#65
22.51.1
22.821.7
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
blue by 39.9
1727
#21
62.41.3
61.262.5
Auto8.9
Teleop41.1
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned