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Red188
1046631.5
223184.9
654855.2
Blue232
427077.2
175674.7
119788.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175259100150200300350188232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+48
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points48
47Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +44
22Coral scored#35
79Coral points125
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
121Total teleop165
Reef
11L4#19
6L3#12
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#9
39Game pieces#54
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
188Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#46
84.91.5
81.482.9
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
blue by 3.9
88.80.5
85.985.3
Auto23.3
Teleop55.2
End10.3
Second
6548
#34
55.21.5
49.951.5
Auto15.3
Teleop37.7
End2.2
blue by 22.0
4270
#52
77.20.5
79.779.2
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
Third
31.51.5
33.435.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End7.2
blue by 43.2
74.70.5
74.173.6
Auto7.6
Teleop57.1
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned