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Red216
414364.5
394080.1
595173.0
Blue229
478857.9
205269.7
721170.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218198100150250300216229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave9
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points15
51Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +40
26Coral scored#35
93Coral points127
5Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
30Processor points24
16Net points28
46Algae points52
139Total teleop179
Reef
18L4#17
8L3#8
5L2#8
5L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
216Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#30
80.10.1
74.274.3
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
red by 10.1
7211
#18
70.02.2
62.564.7
Auto11.4
Teleop47.2
End11.5
Second
5951
#17
73.00.1
68.668.7
Auto19.2
Teleop44.0
End9.8
red by 3.3
2052
#38
69.72.2
69.471.6
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
Third
4143
#26
64.50.1
60.360.4
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3
red by 6.5
4788
#27
57.92.2
52.955.1
Auto6.3
Teleop45.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned