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Red68
348917.3
263745.8
414632.3
Blue147
233885.2
432944.8
234126.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151735010015020025030068147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+81
Endgame+91
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave0
1Coral scored#9
7Coral points44
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +53
7Coral scored#15
26Coral points53
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
0Processor points18
8Net points16
8Algae points34
34Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#8
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
12Foul points0
68Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#42
45.84.0
46.342.3
Auto11.5
Teleop28.9
End5.4
blue by 39.4
2338
#13
85.20.6
79.478.8
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
Second
4146
#59
32.34.0
34.130.0
Auto5.5
Teleop24.8
End2.0
blue by 12.5
4329
#55
44.80.6
44.744.1
Auto10.5
Teleop32.4
End2.0
Third
3489
#74
17.34.0
28.023.9
Auto2.7
Teleop13.4
End1.2
blue by 8.7
2341
#57
26.00.6
23.823.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned