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Red213
601423.0
34190.7
285156.5
Blue215
318242.9
98783.6
170180.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182215100150200250300213215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+22
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave9
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points39
30Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +4
30Coral scored#32
109Coral points115
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
24Processor points18
24Net points28
48Algae points46
157Total teleop161
Reef
12L4#12
10L3#10
6L2#9
8L1 · trough#9
46Game pieces#50
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
213Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#7
90.72.6
85.588.1
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
red by 7.1
987
#14
83.60.6
77.978.5
Auto22.8
Teleop52.6
End8.2
Second
2851
#60
56.52.6
54.557.1
Auto7.0
Teleop48.2
End1.3
blue by 23.8
1701
#35
80.30.6
76.777.3
Auto21.3
Teleop50.6
End8.4
Third
6014
#71
23.02.6
23.225.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.3
End2.7
blue by 19.9
3182
#69
42.90.6
40.441.0
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned96%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsMissed