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Red210
634059.7
173281.7
60489.8
Blue182
59736.3
234262.7
1012041.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25613950100200300210182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points30
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +24
28Coral scored#25
99Coral points89
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
24Processor points18
24Net points16
48Algae points34
147Total teleop123
Reef
9L4#6
13L3#12
9L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
210Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#9
89.81.8
86.885.0
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
red by 27.1
2342
#43
62.72.3
59.962.2
Auto14.2
Teleop39.5
End9.0
Second
1732
#23
81.71.8
81.079.2
Auto16.2
Teleop53.8
End11.7
red by 40.1
41.62.3
40.743.1
Auto6.3
Teleop31.2
End4.1
Third
6340
#25
59.71.8
58.456.6
Auto10.9
Teleop39.4
End9.4
red by 23.4
597
#75
36.32.3
34.937.3
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned