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Red248
440077.9
636987.4
107662.7
Blue134
958322.5
1046631.5
175674.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23913450100150200300350248134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+102Teleop
+114Endgame
+114Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
0Leave9
12Coral scored#2
58Coral points10
58Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +63
29Coral scored#17
104Coral points61
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#7
24Processor points12
36Net points28
60Algae points40
164Total teleop101
Reef
19L4#8
8L3#4
10L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +114
0Foul points0
248Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
#16
87.41.2
82.683.9
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
red by 12.7
74.70.5
73.673.1
Auto7.6
Teleop57.1
End10.0
Second
4400
#12
77.91.2
72.273.5
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
red by 46.5
31.50.5
35.034.5
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End7.2
Third
1076
#28
62.71.2
63.264.5
Auto15.3
Teleop45.0
End2.4
red by 40.3
9583
#65
22.50.5
21.721.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed