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Red208
283467.0
599087.1
529839.9
Blue198
205269.7
263852.4
313251.0
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207185100150250300350208198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+24Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points20
54Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +4
27Coral scored#26
98Coral points92
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#8
24Processor points18
16Net points32
40Algae points50
138Total teleop142
Reef
16L4#14
9L3#10
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
208Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#15
87.10.4
87.287.6
Auto19.9
Teleop64.8
End2.4
red by 17.4
2052
#38
69.70.3
71.671.9
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
Second
2834
#19
67.00.4
67.167.5
Auto17.1
Teleop40.0
End9.9
red by 14.6
2638
#68
52.40.3
50.851.1
Auto9.0
Teleop35.9
End7.5
Third
5298
#33
39.90.4
36.637.0
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End2.8
blue by 11.1
3132
#58
51.00.3
53.653.9
Auto9.6
Teleop36.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned