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Red239
804479.2
752255.3
940870.1
Blue211
394080.1
654855.2
293549.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209184120140160200220240260280239211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
8Coral scored#10
42Coral points49
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +35
24Coral scored#23
88Coral points83
8Processor algae#3
9Net algae#9
48Processor points18
36Net points36
84Algae points54
172Total teleop137
Reef
14L4#10
7L3#9
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#7
49Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
239Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.22.1
77.880.0
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
blue by 0.9
3940
#30
80.11.4
74.375.8
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
Second
9408
#37
70.12.1
68.570.7
Auto14.1
Teleop47.1
End8.9
red by 15.0
6548
#34
55.21.4
51.552.9
Auto15.3
Teleop37.7
End2.2
Third
7522
#24
55.32.1
49.451.5
Auto10.6
Teleop41.5
End3.2
red by 6.2
2935
#66
49.11.4
52.754.1
Auto10.3
Teleop34.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned