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Red194
198776.0
402873.9
551656.9
Blue177
234126.0
635848.9
427077.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228157100200250300194177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points28
51Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +6
28Coral scored#29
99Coral points105
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
121Total teleop127
Reef
14L4#14
11L3#7
8L2#6
5L1 · trough#8
43Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
194Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.01.8
74.973.1
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
blue by 1.2
4270
#52
77.21.4
79.280.6
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
Second
4028
#11
73.91.8
75.273.3
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End6.9
red by 25.0
6358
#40
48.91.4
43.044.4
Auto8.5
Teleop37.7
End2.7
Third
5516
#32
56.91.8
54.152.2
Auto17.2
Teleop34.7
End5.0
red by 30.9
2341
#57
26.01.4
23.224.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned