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Red216
521669.9
478857.9
414364.5
Blue169
376772.0
348917.3
362069.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204179100150250300216169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+23Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
6Coral scored#10
28Coral points51
34Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +40
27Coral scored#24
96Coral points86
6Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
36Processor points6
20Net points20
56Algae points26
152Total teleop112
Reef
9L4#10
11L3#8
7L2#10
6L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#40
BargeRed +24
30Cage & park6
30Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
216Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#50
69.91.4
68.770.1
Auto17.7
Teleop48.6
End3.5
blue by 2.2
3767
#31
72.00.5
69.468.9
Auto16.2
Teleop48.1
End7.8
Second
4143
#26
64.51.4
60.461.8
Auto13.2
Teleop43.9
End7.3
blue by 4.9
3620
#49
69.40.5
72.471.9
Auto22.2
Teleop38.7
End8.5
Third
4788
#27
57.91.4
55.156.4
Auto6.3
Teleop45.1
End6.6
red by 40.6
3489
#74
17.30.5
23.923.4
Auto2.7
Teleop13.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned50%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsMissed