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Red235
2481103.1
233885.2
912643.9
Blue201
529839.9
957655.0
173281.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232183100150200250300350235201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
9Leave6
11Coral scored#6
54Coral points31
63Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +4
31Coral scored#33
112Coral points118
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
146Total teleop142
Reef
13L4#12
12L3#10
11L2#8
6L1 · trough#9
49Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points6
235Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.11.1
97.999.0
Auto25.7
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 21.4
1732
#23
81.71.6
79.280.8
Auto16.2
Teleop53.8
End11.7
Second
2338
#13
85.21.1
78.879.8
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
red by 30.2
9576
#36
55.01.6
54.756.3
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End8.4
Third
9126
#64
43.91.1
42.443.5
Auto11.0
Teleop30.5
End2.4
red by 4.0
5298
#33
39.91.6
37.038.6
Auto7.0
Teleop30.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned60%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned