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Red141
263852.4
923433.7
654855.2
Blue118
59736.3
318242.9
958322.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15710550200250141118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
6Processor points12
28Net points16
34Algae points28
115Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#8
9L3#4
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
141Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6548
#34
55.20.2
52.953.1
Auto15.3
Teleop37.7
End2.2
red by 12.3
3182
#69
42.91.2
41.042.2
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End5.0
Second
2638
#68
52.40.2
51.151.3
Auto9.0
Teleop35.9
End7.5
red by 16.1
597
#75
36.31.2
37.338.5
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End2.6
Third
9234
#61
33.70.2
33.934.1
Auto7.4
Teleop23.2
End3.1
red by 11.2
9583
#65
22.51.2
21.222.4
Auto4.8
Teleop18.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed