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Red196
45858.9
98783.6
175674.7
Blue168
1012041.6
293549.1
162962.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181174120140160200220240196168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
40Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +24
19Coral scored#22
70Coral points78
3Processor algae#3
10Net algae#2
18Processor points18
40Net points8
58Algae points26
128Total teleop104
Reef
14L4#11
5L3#6
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
2Foul points8
196Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#14
83.61.4
78.579.9
Auto22.8
Teleop52.6
End8.2
red by 20.6
1629
#41
62.90.9
64.463.5
Auto18.8
Teleop40.5
End3.7
Second
74.71.4
73.174.5
Auto7.6
Teleop57.1
End10.0
red by 25.5
2935
#66
49.10.9
54.153.2
Auto10.3
Teleop34.6
End4.2
Third
4585
#70
8.91.4
9.711.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.8
End1.0
blue by 32.7
41.60.9
43.142.2
Auto6.3
Teleop31.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned