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Red241
940870.1
233885.2
478857.9
Blue247
223184.9
83972.3
192365.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2192340100300400500241247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave3
10Coral scored#7
52Coral points34
52Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +31
32Coral scored#40
115Coral points144
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
18Processor points24
20Net points16
38Algae points40
153Total teleop184
Reef
12L4#17
12L3#17
9L2#7
9L1 · trough#6
50Game pieces#55
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
241Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#13
85.21.7
79.881.6
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
red by 0.3
2231
#46
84.91.4
84.786.1
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
Second
9408
#37
70.11.7
70.772.4
Auto14.1
Teleop47.1
End8.9
blue by 2.2
839
#29
72.31.4
69.270.6
Auto10.3
Teleop50.6
End11.5
Third
4788
#27
57.91.7
56.458.2
Auto6.3
Teleop45.1
End6.6
blue by 7.5
1923
#22
65.51.4
63.064.4
Auto17.8
Teleop45.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned