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Red106
427077.2
205269.7
348917.3
Blue154
601423.0
804479.2
38652.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197169100150250300106154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +35
13Coral scored#21
45Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
67Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#13
3L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points8
106Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#52
77.25.4
80.675.2
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
blue by 2.1
79.21.4
80.078.5
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
Second
2052
#38
69.75.4
71.966.5
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3
red by 17.2
386
#45
52.51.4
50.448.9
Auto10.4
Teleop34.4
End7.8
Third
3489
#74
17.35.4
23.418.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.4
End1.2
blue by 5.7
6014
#71
23.01.4
25.824.4
Auto4.0
Teleop16.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed