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Red234
440077.9
83671.2
60489.8
Blue269
439185.6
223184.9
233885.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251275200300350400234269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
8Coral scored#13
42Coral points65
48Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +2
26Coral scored#32
94Coral points114
5Processor algae#2
9Net algae#9
30Processor points12
36Net points36
66Algae points48
160Total teleop162
Reef
13L4#14
9L3#17
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#7
48Game pieces#56
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
234Total score269

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#9
89.80.1
89.989.8
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
red by 4.2
85.60.1
86.386.4
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
Second
4400
#12
77.90.1
78.077.9
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
blue by 7.3
2338
#13
85.20.1
85.886.0
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
Third
836
#20
71.20.1
71.371.2
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3
blue by 13.7
2231
#46
84.90.1
85.585.6
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4