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Red261
804479.2
394080.1
2481103.1
Blue247
111481.0
205269.7
170180.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275240150200300350261247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+24Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
10Coral scored#10
50Coral points49
50Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +32
41Coral scored#33
147Coral points117
2Processor algae#3
9Net algae#7
12Processor points18
36Net points28
48Algae points46
195Total teleop163
Reef
23L4#19
11L3#9
8L2#10
9L1 · trough#5
62Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
261Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.10.0
102.9102.9
Auto25.7
Teleop65.5
End11.8
red by 22.1
81.00.4
80.580.9
Auto18.0
Teleop56.2
End6.8
Second
3940
#30
80.10.0
79.979.9
Auto18.7
Teleop52.0
End9.4
blue by 0.2
1701
#35
80.30.4
79.880.2
Auto21.3
Teleop50.6
End8.4
Third
79.20.0
79.079.0
Auto15.8
Teleop54.5
End9.0
red by 9.5
2052
#38
69.70.4
69.269.6
Auto10.2
Teleop49.3
End10.3