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Red236
34190.7
940870.1
427077.2
Blue283
440077.9
83671.2
60489.8
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25225050100150200300350400236283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+39
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +39
0Leave3
5Coral scored#12
26Coral points62
26Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +14
33Coral scored#32
120Coral points116
4Processor algae#3
10Net algae#9
24Processor points18
40Net points36
64Algae points54
184Total teleop170
Reef
11L4#12
8L3#15
12L2#12
7L1 · trough#5
52Game pieces#56
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points12
236Total score283

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#7
90.70.0
90.890.7
Auto15.2
Teleop63.6
End12.0
red by 0.9
604
#9
89.80.8
89.289.9
Auto20.8
Teleop60.7
End8.3
Second
4270
#52
77.20.0
77.277.2
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End8.7
blue by 0.8
4400
#12
77.90.8
77.378.0
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End8.7
Third
9408
#37
70.10.0
70.270.1
Auto14.1
Teleop47.1
End8.9
blue by 1.0
836
#20
71.20.8
70.671.3
Auto16.0
Teleop44.9
End10.3