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Red269
439185.6
223184.9
233885.2
Blue255
98783.6
198776.0
376772.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277241200300350400269255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
11Coral scored#13
56Coral points63
65Total auto66
TeleoperatedRed +9
28Coral scored#29
100Coral points103
6Processor algae#6
9Net algae#6
36Processor points36
36Net points24
72Algae points60
172Total teleop163
Reef
16L4#15
9L3#12
9L2#8
5L1 · trough#7
54Game pieces#54
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
269Total score255

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.60.1
86.186.3
Auto16.5
Teleop59.2
End9.9
red by 2.0
987
#14
83.60.6
83.083.6
Auto22.8
Teleop52.6
End8.2
Second
2338
#13
85.20.1
85.785.8
Auto24.7
Teleop49.9
End10.6
red by 9.2
76.00.6
75.476.0
Auto16.8
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Third
2231
#46
84.90.1
85.485.5
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
red by 12.9
3767
#31
72.00.6
71.572.0
Auto16.2
Teleop48.1
End7.8