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Red192
248183.6
11870.2
748319.1
Blue166
804454.5
449960.3
791726.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187149100200250192166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +25
24Coral scored#22
85Coral points78
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#2
24Processor points18
20Net points8
44Algae points26
129Total teleop104
Reef
12L4#12
8L3#7
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points6
192Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.60.5
83.183.6
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
red by 23.2
60.30.5
59.960.3
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
Second
118
#4
70.20.5
69.770.2
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 15.6
54.50.5
54.154.5
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
Third
7483
#26
19.10.5
18.619.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 7.1
7917
#25
26.10.5
25.726.1
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0