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Red201
248183.6
11870.2
748319.1
Blue134
804454.5
449960.3
791726.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185151100200250201134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+57Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +50
28Coral scored#19
102Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
138Total teleop88
Reef
11L4#10
12L3#4
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
201Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.60.7
82.483.1
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
red by 23.2
60.30.1
60.059.9
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
Second
118
#4
70.20.7
69.069.7
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 15.6
54.50.1
54.254.1
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
Third
7483
#26
19.10.7
17.918.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 7.1
7917
#25
26.10.1
25.825.7
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0