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Red177
804454.5
449960.3
791726.1
Blue134
642447.8
393750.9
543714.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1571206080100140180200220177134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave6
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points16
44Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +21
22Coral scored#13
79Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
107Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#4
9L3#5
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
177Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.9
59.160.0
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
red by 9.4
50.90.5
50.450.9
Auto10.4
Teleop34.0
End6.5
Second
54.50.9
53.354.2
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
red by 6.7
47.80.5
47.447.8
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Third
7917
#25
26.10.9
24.925.8
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
red by 11.3
5437
#24
14.90.5
14.414.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End0.7