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Red135
642447.8
393750.9
543714.9
Blue109
1639.2
752527.0
110837.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231106080100140160180135109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points31
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
83Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
135Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.5
49.950.4
Auto10.4
Teleop34.0
End6.5
red by 11.7
16
#8
39.20.1
39.139.2
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
Second
47.80.5
46.847.4
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 10.3
37.60.1
37.537.6
Auto8.4
Teleop24.1
End5.2
Third
5437
#24
14.90.5
13.914.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 12.2
7525
#16
27.00.1
26.927.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6