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Red194
248183.6
11870.2
748319.1
Blue176
804454.5
449960.3
791726.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185146120160200220240194176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave3
10Coral scored#8
48Coral points40
51Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +10
25Coral scored#17
89Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
6Processor points12
16Net points28
22Algae points40
111Total teleop101
Reef
14L4#8
10L3#6
5L2#8
6L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points6
194Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.60.4
82.082.4
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
red by 23.2
60.30.8
58.459.1
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
Second
118
#4
70.20.4
68.669.0
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 15.6
54.50.8
52.653.3
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
Third
7483
#26
19.10.4
17.517.9
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 7.1
7917
#25
26.10.8
24.224.9
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0