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Red41
618622.8
110837.6
543714.9
Blue110
748319.1
449960.3
1035821.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5795020408012014016041110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+55
Endgame+63
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
22Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points6
41Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.62.3
28.726.5
Auto8.4
Teleop24.1
End5.2
blue by 22.7
60.31.7
42.544.2
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
Second
6186
#17
22.82.3
14.612.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 1.6
21.21.7
19.421.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
5437
#24
14.92.3
10.28.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 4.2
7483
#26
19.11.7
17.619.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned