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Red155
17947.2
791726.1
393750.9
Blue165
804454.5
320139.0
450040.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106108406080120140160155165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+12Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points27
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +2
20Coral scored#20
73Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
101Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#8
9L3#7
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
155Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.96.1
38.544.6
Auto10.4
Teleop34.0
End6.5
blue by 3.6
54.56.8
37.644.4
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
Second
179
#11
47.26.1
35.541.6
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
red by 6.7
40.66.8
27.734.5
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
Third
7917
#25
26.16.1
17.223.3
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
blue by 12.9
3201
#12
39.06.8
27.334.1
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned