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Red105
203639.0
234120.6
178135.6
Blue60
658614.8
942912.7
500233.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10135020608012014016010560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
57Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
18Foul points0
105Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2036
#10
39.00.5
30.330.8
Auto9.4
Teleop23.7
End5.9
red by 5.4
5002
#14
33.62.7
19.221.9
Auto6.1
Teleop23.5
End4.0
Second
1781
#22
35.60.5
32.032.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.3
red by 20.7
6586
#28
14.82.7
11.514.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
2341
#20
20.60.5
19.820.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End4.1
red by 8.0
9429
#29
12.72.7
5.27.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed