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Red86
752527.0
543714.9
449960.3
Blue135
32329.7
804454.5
17947.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871285010015020086135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+47
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +33
9Coral scored#13
32Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
42Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#8
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
86Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.3
44.244.6
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
red by 5.8
54.52.5
44.446.9
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
Second
7525
#16
27.00.3
25.125.5
Auto9.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
blue by 20.2
179
#11
47.22.5
41.644.1
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Third
5437
#24
14.90.3
8.08.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 14.8
323
#21
29.72.5
20.923.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned