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Red82
748319.1
1010115.2
393750.9
Blue78
907313.0
1639.2
320139.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97874060801201408278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#10
41Coral points35
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
49Total teleop59
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
6Foul points0
82Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.7
44.643.9
Auto10.4
Teleop34.0
End6.5
red by 11.7
16
#8
39.20.2
34.334.5
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
Second
7483
#26
19.10.7
19.318.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 20.0
3201
#12
39.00.2
34.134.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End10.6
Third
15.20.7
18.217.6
Auto2.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 2.2
9073
#15
13.00.2
8.08.1
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed