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Red60
1035821.2
906729.9
791726.1
Blue157
248183.6
618622.8
450040.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6312005010015020060157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+73
Endgame+85
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points27
18Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +61
4Coral scored#18
14Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
28Total teleop89
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#8
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points12
60Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9067
#18
29.91.0
19.518.5
Auto6.2
Teleop22.5
End1.2
blue by 53.7
83.64.2
54.758.9
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
Second
7917
#25
26.11.0
23.322.3
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
blue by 14.4
40.64.2
34.538.7
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
Third
21.21.0
21.220.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 1.6
6186
#17
22.84.2
12.316.5
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned