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Red83
804454.5
234120.6
500233.6
Blue161
11870.2
642447.8
543714.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9413340608012016018083161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+58
Endgame+78
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +54
9Coral scored#21
32Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
54Total teleop108
Reef
3L4#11
4L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points0
83Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.9
46.945.0
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
blue by 15.6
118
#4
70.22.3
62.965.1
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
5002
#14
33.61.9
21.919.9
Auto6.1
Teleop23.5
End4.0
blue by 14.2
47.83.8
44.248.1
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Third
2341
#20
20.61.9
20.318.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End4.1
red by 5.8
5437
#24
14.93.8
8.312.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned