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Red70
450040.6
907313.0
748319.1
Blue49
1035821.2
752527.0
203639.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71884060801001207049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+5Teleop
+17Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
5Coral scored#4
19Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
29Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points2
70Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.2
38.738.5
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
red by 1.5
2036
#10
39.03.3
30.827.6
Auto9.4
Teleop23.7
End5.9
Second
7483
#26
19.10.2
18.618.5
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 8.0
7525
#16
27.03.3
25.522.2
Auto9.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
Third
9073
#15
13.00.2
8.18.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 8.2
21.23.3
20.116.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed