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Red128
178135.6
17947.2
500233.6
Blue158
725516.0
449960.3
393750.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117116100110120130140150128158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
17Coral scored#22
60Coral points78
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
92Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#11
5L3#8
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points6
128Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#11
47.22.4
45.047.4
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
blue by 13.1
60.35.0
48.253.2
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
Second
1781
#22
35.62.4
36.238.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.3
blue by 15.3
50.95.0
43.949.0
Auto10.4
Teleop34.0
End6.5
Third
5002
#14
33.62.4
19.922.3
Auto6.1
Teleop23.5
End4.0
red by 17.7
7255
#27
16.05.0
8.613.7
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned