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Red165
1639.2
248183.6
32329.7
Blue70
320139.0
658614.8
543714.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14660010020016570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+77Teleop
+87Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +70
17Coral scored#5
61Coral points19
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
103Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#2
9L3#1
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +95
20Foul points12
165Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.62.2
64.666.9
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
red by 44.5
3201
#12
39.00.3
34.334.0
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End10.6
Second
16
#8
39.22.2
38.040.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
red by 24.3
5437
#24
14.90.3
12.111.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Third
323
#21
29.72.2
22.124.4
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End3.3
red by 14.9
6586
#28
14.80.3
14.314.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed