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Red110
804454.5
906729.9
907313.0
Blue58
203639.0
791726.1
942912.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885920408010012014016011058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+44Teleop
+34Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#7
52Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
60Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
18Foul points0
110Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.6
45.046.6
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
red by 15.5
2036
#10
39.00.0
27.627.6
Auto9.4
Teleop23.7
End5.9
Second
9067
#18
29.91.6
24.325.9
Auto6.2
Teleop22.5
End1.2
red by 3.7
7917
#25
26.10.0
22.422.4
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Third
9073
#15
13.01.6
8.09.6
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 0.3
9429
#29
12.70.0
7.97.9
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned