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Red75
752527.0
239930.4
234120.6
Blue104
450040.6
1010115.2
642447.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731285010015020075104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+37
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
52Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
75Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#23
30.40.3
31.831.5
Auto4.6
Teleop21.4
End4.4
blue by 17.5
47.81.3
48.146.8
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Second
7525
#16
27.00.3
22.221.9
Auto9.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
blue by 13.5
40.61.3
38.537.2
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
Third
2341
#20
20.60.3
18.418.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End4.1
red by 5.4
15.21.3
23.322.0
Auto2.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsMissed