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Red130
11870.2
1035821.2
618622.8
Blue70
96089.5
748319.1
110837.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1205920408010014016018013070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+62Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
16Coral scored#6
58Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
74Total teleop33
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#1
6L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
12Foul points12
130Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
70.20.5
65.165.6
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 32.6
37.61.4
28.627.2
Auto8.4
Teleop24.1
End5.2
Second
6186
#17
22.80.8
17.418.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 3.7
7483
#26
19.11.4
18.517.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
21.20.8
16.917.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 11.6
9608
#30
9.51.4
12.010.6
Auto1.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned