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Red155
32329.7
393750.9
11870.2
Blue156
248183.6
203639.0
17947.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911150100150200155156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +9
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
6Processor points18
24Net points20
30Algae points38
103Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#6
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points6
155Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
70.21.0
62.763.7
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
blue by 13.4
83.63.9
41.445.3
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
Second
50.91.6
37.138.7
Auto10.4
Teleop34.0
End6.5
red by 3.7
179
#11
47.23.9
36.940.8
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Third
323
#21
29.71.6
21.022.6
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End3.3
blue by 9.3
2036
#10
39.03.9
22.426.3
Auto9.4
Teleop23.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned