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Red135
1010115.2
449960.3
804454.5
Blue38
906729.9
942912.7
96089.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1115905010015013538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+67Teleop
+91Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
80Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#8
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
6Foul points0
135Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.33.4
39.643.0
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
red by 30.5
9067
#18
29.92.6
25.522.9
Auto6.2
Teleop22.5
End1.2
Second
54.53.4
35.338.6
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
red by 41.9
9429
#29
12.72.6
16.413.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Third
15.24.1
17.021.2
Auto2.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 5.7
9608
#30
9.52.6
14.011.4
Auto1.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed