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Red70
658614.8
725516.0
1639.2
Blue36
618622.8
907313.0
234120.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786620401001207036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
17Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
12Processor points0
4Net points8
16Algae points8
49Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
70Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#8
39.20.6
36.035.4
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
red by 16.4
6186
#17
22.83.4
17.914.5
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Second
7255
#27
16.00.6
15.915.2
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End4.0
blue by 4.7
2341
#20
20.63.4
24.621.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End4.1
Third
6586
#28
14.80.6
15.314.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 1.9
9073
#15
13.03.4
16.112.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed