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Red65
1035821.2
725516.0
450040.6
Blue110
1010115.2
32329.7
110837.6
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7384406010012065110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+27
Endgame+39
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
49Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
6Foul points12
65Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.6
33.633.0
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
red by 3.0
37.62.6
29.532.1
Auto8.4
Teleop24.1
End5.2
Second
21.20.6
20.019.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 8.5
323
#21
29.72.6
23.326.0
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End3.3
Third
7255
#27
16.00.6
11.310.7
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End4.0
red by 0.8
15.22.6
19.722.3
Auto2.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned