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Red93
450040.6
500233.6
32329.7
Blue76
1010115.2
17947.2
1639.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881294060801001201401601809376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
61Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
93Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.1
33.032.9
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
blue by 6.7
179
#11
47.24.5
52.347.8
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Second
5002
#14
33.60.1
26.826.6
Auto6.1
Teleop23.5
End4.0
blue by 5.6
16
#8
39.24.5
39.835.3
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
Third
323
#21
29.70.1
26.025.9
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End3.3
red by 14.5
15.24.5
22.317.8
Auto2.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned